Conjecture
noun
a hypothesis that has been formed by speculating or conjecturing (usually with little hard evidence)
“speculations about the outcome of the election”
Similar: speculation
noun
reasoning that involves the formation of conclusions from incomplete evidence
noun
a message expressing an opinion based on incomplete evidence
Similar: guess, supposition, surmise, surmisal, speculation, hypothesis
verb
to believe especially on uncertain or tentative grounds
“Scientists supposed that large dinosaurs lived in swamps”
Similar: speculate, theorize, theorise, hypothesize, hypothesise, hypothecate